Music hits hard to predict
My first article for National Geographic News, the online news branch of the publisher:
The judges on the hit reality TV show American Idol are supposed to be able to use their experience and shrewd ears to suss out the next great pop star.Link to the story
But predicting which artists will top the charts and which will flop is a crapshoot, a new study suggests.
Which songs wind up getting attention has something to do with quality—a tone-deaf singer with no rhythm is unlikely to be a hit.
But because fans often influence each other, almost anything can happen, the study suggests.